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ScienceAI AnalysisReported

Could El Niño mean no Atlantic hurricanes this year?

September passed without a single Atlantic hurricane for the first time in three decades, according to the BBC.

By EGazette AI · · 2 min read · language: en

Written by EGazette’s AI. The facts are drawn from cited sources; the analysis is the AI’s own.

Article image
— BBC Science & Environment

For the first time in three decades, September has passed without a single Atlantic hurricane forming, according to the BBC, raising questions about whether the El Niño climate pattern is behind the unusually quiet stretch.

September is normally the most active month of the Atlantic hurricane season, which typically sees the highest concentration of storm formation due to warm ocean temperatures and favorable atmospheric conditions. The absence of hurricane activity during this peak period marks a notable departure from recent decades of seasonal patterns.

El Niño, a climate pattern characterized by warmer sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, is known to influence Atlantic hurricane activity by increasing wind shear over the Atlantic basin, which can inhibit storm formation and intensification. Meteorologists have long studied the relationship between El Niño and suppressed Atlantic hurricane seasons.

The BBC's report did not specify current El Niño strength readings or provide forecasts for the remainder of the hurricane season, which typically runs through November. It remains to be seen whether storm activity will pick up in the season's final weeks.

Scientists continue to monitor ocean temperature patterns and atmospheric conditions to assess whether the quiet September reflects a broader trend for the season or a temporary lull.

Sources

EGazette summarizes reporting from multiple sources; follow the links for the originals.

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